Saturday, March 10, 2012

Costly Blunders by Congress in UP

How the Congress made every effort to defeat itself in Uttar Pradesh?


Nov 14, 2011: Rahul Gandhi kicked off the Congress campaign with a faux pass.At a rally in Phulpur, he asked the youth how long they would go on begging for jobs in Punjab and Maharashtra. This bommeranged.


Nov 2011: Rahul Gandhi mocked the BJP's "India Shining" slogan. Not only was this an old slogan dating back to 2004 Lok Sabha elections, but the BJP was not even a key player in Uttar Pradesh. This totally confused the voters.


Dec 18, 2011: Form development, Rahul suddenly began to talk caste. At a rally for MBCs, he told the crowd that tech icon Sam Pitroda was a Vishwakarma (carpenter). This exposed Congress as being a casteist party.


Feb 06, 2012: At a press conference in Varanasi, Rahul stated that his party would not support either SP / BSP. Congress leaders such as Digvijaya Singh and Sriprakash Jaiswal raised the spectre of Governor's Rule. This only added votes to the SP kitty.


Feb 06, 2012: Robert Vadra announced his desire to contest elections. That, along with the sight of his two children on the campaign trail, perpetuated the myth of a dynastic right to rule. Congress won only two of the 10 seats from Amethi-Rae Bareli.


Deb 16, 2012: At a rally in Lucknow, Rahul Gandhi tore up apiece of paper. What he wanted to convey was anger at tall poll promises. What he did convey was disrespect for his rivals.



This is the weakest that Congress has been since Narashima Rao lost the elections in 1996. Uttar Pradesh where the Congress vote dropped by 7%, is not the only tale in town. Equally lacerating is Punjab, where Congress began to celebrate long before the votes were cast. The Akali-BJP alliance actually increased its vote: among Hindu Dalits, Hindu OBCs, Sikh OBCs and Sikh Dalits. Dr. Manomhan Singh, the first Sikh PM, has lost Punjab twice to the Akalis. (the first time could have been carelessness; the second time is punishment) Mrs. Gandhi has lost all Assembly seats in Rae Bareli, despite the continual presence of Priyanka Gandhi, internally touted as a bigger campaign star than brother Rahul Gandhi. Earlier this year Home Minister P. Chidambaram was in Tamil Nadu, and cannot be sure of re-election in his own seat. S.M. Krishna, the external affairs minister, is at a dead-end in Karnataka. A.K. Antony, the defence minister, is at a tipping edge in Kerala. 
Rahul Gandhi has blamed the party infrastructure for the UP defeat, but has he looked at the structure at the top? Not a single congress heavyweight is heavy enough to lift his own state, or even a party thereof. Congress might claim it has jailed a corrupt minister (A. Raja) but it is quite forgot to arrest its chief minister in Goa, who has been sentenced by voters to long exile. 

The defeat congress (Rahul's magic) would be big happy for the following politicians:-
  • Mamata Banerjee
  • Jayalalithaa
  • Nitish Kumar
  • Jagmohan Reddy
  • Chandrababu Naidu
  • Naveen patnaik
  • Prakash Karat
  • Nitin Gadkari
  • Mulayam Signh Yadav
  • Mayawati
  • Prakash Singh Badal
  • Om Prakash Chautala
  • M. karunanidhi

The number of politicians opposing the policies of the Congress led UPA-II is increasing daily. The big question is how the Congress is going to face them in Parliament, and also in the upcoming Presidential and Vice-Presidential Elections?

India's Presidential Election 2012

What is the Status of the Presidential Election?

The Presidential elections will be held soon as the present term for President Ms. Pratibha Patil ends on July 25. None of the major national alliances has nay clear edge, and the non-aligned regional parties are set to play a crucial role in deciding who will be the country’s next constitutional head.

*      The President is elected indirectly, voting by MLAs and MPs.
*      India has 4120 MLAs 776 MPs (both RS and LS), 4896 electors to elect President
*      Each MLA and MP is assigned a certain value of their votes
*      Each MP’s vote has a value of 708. An MLA’s vote value varies from state to stae depending on the population.
*      Total value of votes of 4120 MLAs of all States is 5, 49, 474
*      Total value of voted of all 776 MPs together is 5, 49, 408
*      Total values of votes of all 776 MPs together is 5, 49, 408
*      Total value of votes of 4986 votes is 10, 98, 882

How the vote is calculated:-

The President of India is elected by members of an electoral college consisting of:-
D       the elected members of both the Houses of the Parliament and
D       the elected members of the Legislative Assemblies of the States


PRESENT POSITION OF POLITICAL PARTIES:-



UPA: CONGRESS & KEY ALLIES
Party
MLAs
Value of Votes
MPs
Value of Votes
Vote Value
(column 3+5)
INC
1177
134369
277
196116
330485
TMC
199
28225
25
17700
45925
DMK
25
4080
25
17700
21780
NCP
94
12522
16
11328
23850
RJD
27
4686
8
5664
10350
NC
28
2016
5
3540
5556
Muslim League
20
3040
2
1416
4456
JVM
11
1936
2
1416
3352
AIMIM
7
1036
1
708
1744
BPF
12
1392
2
1416
2808
Kerala Cong
9
1368
1
708
2076
RLD
9
1972
6
4248
6220
LIP
1
173
1
708
881
Total values of votes: 459483; this is 30% of total votes
NDA: BJP & KEY ALLIES
Party
MLAs
Value of Votes
MPs
Value of Votes
Vote Value
(column 3+5)
BJP
825
108481
165
116820
225301
JD(U)
121
20913
28
19824
40737
SAD
57
6608
7
4956
11564
Shiv Sena
45
7875
15
10620
18495
JMM
18
3168
2
1416
4584
AGP
10
1160
3
2124
3284
HJC
1
112
1
708
820
Total values of vote: 304785; this is 28% of total votes
REST (NON-UPA, NON-NDA)
Party
MLAs
Value of Votes
MPs
Value of Votes
Vote Value
(column 3+5)
SP
230
47572
27
19116
66688
AIADMK
158
27008
14
9912
36920
CPM
144
16220
29
20532
36752
BJD
103
15347
20
14160
29507
BSP
91
17861
39
27612
45473
TDP
86
12728
10
7080
19808
JD (S)
30
4014
3
2124
6138
CPI
32
4828
9
6372
11200
PDP
22
1584
0
0
1584
FB
11
1661
3
2124
3785
RSP
9
1361
2
1416
2777
TRS
12
1776
2
1416
3192
Total Value of Votes: 263824; this is 24% of total votes


Who are in the race for the next President of India? (as of on Feb 10, 2012)


The frontrunners from the political firmament are predictable. Vice-president Hamid Ansari, PM Manmohan Singh, Union finance minister Pranab Mukherjee, Lok Sabha Speaker Meira Kumar top the political list. These names have done the rounds in the last few months and it’s not difficult to see why; the next incumbent of Rashtrapati Bhavan will be swearing in the prime minister after the general election in 2014, or even earlier, and may be called upon to take tough political decisions. “It’s too early to discuss any candidate; let’s wait and see the political alignments after the assembly results,” says a Congress general secretary.
Some also says that “We shouldn’t be hung up on these religious, caste and Dalit criteria. We need a president with administrative experience, commitment to nation-building and ability for crisis management because political challenges are inevitable in the next couple of years,” he says. There could be a case for a technocrat-administrator like telecom whiz Sam Pitroda, ‘Metro man’ E. Sreedharan, legal expert Fali S. Nariman.
Others who drew in support were anti-corruption crusader Anna Hazare, backed by a lot of aam janata, but not by pundits; and former president Dr A.P.J. Abdul Kalam who many remember as “a non-political hero with charisma”. But politicians, understandably, seem disinclined to experiment with a non-political person yet again.