With the Dravida Munnetra
Kazhagam (DMK) president M. Karunanidhi’s announcement that his party would not
align with either of the principal national parties – the Congress and the
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) — , the hope of revival of the ties between the
DMK and the Congress, caused by the Rajya Sabha elections in June, is now
dashed.
Though the DMK walked out of
the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance over the Sri Lankan Tamils issue
in March, it did seek the Congress support three months later when the party’s
nominee and Mr. Karunanidhi’s daughter, Kanimozhi, was fielded again in the
Rajya Sabha polls. Eventually, Ms. Kanimozhi was elected to the Upper House
with the help of five Congress Members of Legislative Assembly and some others.
This had created an impression that the ties would last till the Lok Sabha
elections.
But, this had been erased by
the DMK leader’s announcement. Besides, the development has taken place when
the Congress is widely perceived to be constrained by a strong anti-incumbency
feeling at the all-India level. This was evident from the way the party
performed in the Assembly elections to four northern States, especially in Delhi where it had been
in power for 15 years.
But, if one were to look at
the sequence of events concerning the DMK-Congress alliance in the last few
years, it was quite clear that the relationship had been going through a lean
phase. In March 2011, the DMK had even threatened to pull out its Ministers
from the Union Cabinet when the Congress had adopted a tough posture in the
seat-sharing talks for the Tamil Nadu Assembly polls. Though the two parties
subsequently patched up, they had performed miserably. The DMK got 23 seats and
the Congress five. For the local bodies’ polls in October 2011, the two parties
fell apart. Yet, the DMK remained part
of the UPA government till March this year.
After the Rajya Sabha elections in June, the
DMK had supported the UPA government on the National Food Security Bill and
ensured the passage of the Bill in Parliament a few months later. Even as this went on, the feeling among the
DMK was that the State unit of the Congress had been keeping the DMK at an
arm’s distance. When the DMK sought the
Congress’ support for the Yercaud by-election, the Congress remained
indifferent. Also, in the finalisation of the Joint Parliamentary Committee
report on the 2G spectrum allocation issue, the DMK was left high and dry.
It was against this backdrop
that the articulation by some members at the DMK general council in Chennai on
Sunday that the party could do well without the support of the Congress or some
others in the Yercaud by-election gained currency. What had not gone unnoticed was that even in
the absence of support from most of its erstwhile allies, the DMK’s nominee got
about 30 per cent of votes polled in Yercaud.
As most of the general
council members expressed themselves against aligning with the BJP and the
Congress, the DMK does not have many options, except attempting to strike a
deal with the Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK). As of now, there are no visible signs of the
DMDK going along with the DMK.
The possibility of the DMK
roping in the MDMK and the Pattali Makkal Katchi is ruled out as these two
parties are likely to align with the BJP.
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