Maharashtra has become a two
horse race since the 1990s with the Congress-Nationalist Congress Party on one
side and the Bharatiya Janata Party-Shiv Sena combine on the other side, but in
Gujarat it has been a saffron wave that has
swept away all the opposition for nearly two decades. According to the
CSDS-CNN-IBN Election Tracker survey, the situation has not changed much in the
two states since the last Lok Sabha elections in 2009.
While the Congress-NCP
alliance got 39 per cent of the votes in the 2009 polls, the combine will get
the support of 43 per cent voters if elections are held in July 2013. But the
alliance has not seen a big jump in the number of seats and will send 23-27 MPs
from the state. In the 2009 polls, the alliance won 25 seats. The BJP-Shiv Sena
alliance will get 18-22 seats while the MNS and others are likely to win 0-2
and 0-4 seats respectively.
Almost 35 per cent of the
respondents in Maharashtra say that the
Congress-NCP should continue alliance in the next Lok Sabha polls but 20 per
cent of the respondents want both parties to contest Lok Sabha polls
separately.
The satisfaction level with
the Congress-NCP government has gone up to 64 per cent in 2013 from 55 per cent
in 2011 and the dissatisfaction level, too, is down to 29 per cent in 2013 from
32 per cent in 2011, which should come as a relief to the ruling coalition.
According to 55 per cent
voters the Shiv Sena, which is an ally of the BJP, should fight the next Lok
Sabha election in partnership with the Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS) while
an overwhelming 70 per cent Sena supporters say that the two parties should
come together.
Though MNS chief Raj
Thackeray may garner negative headlines for his hard-line politics, 48 per cent
of the respondents feel that he is the most suitable leader to take forward
late Shiv Sena chief Bal Thackeray's legacy.
Uddhav Thackeray, who is
currently heading the Shiv Sena, is only preferred by 18 per cent people with
even 57 per cent of the Shiv Sena supporters backing Raj Thackeray.
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