As India
gets ready for the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, the two key states of West Bengal
and Bihar are going to prove very crucial in
ensuring who forms the next government at the Centre. Both states are ruled by
strong regional parties led by charismatic leaders who are yet to clearly spell
out their plans for the next Lok Sabha elections.
According to a CSDS-CNN-IBN
survey, the Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress (TMC) in West Bengal has
consolidated its position since the last Lok Sabha elections in 2009 while the
situation is not so clear in Bihar where the Janata Dal (United) snapped its
ties with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) following the elevation of Gujarat
Chief Minister Narendra Modi as election campaign committee chief.
The TMC is not only going
retain its dominant position in West Bengal
but will leave its rivals way behind if elections are held in July 2013. The
survey shows the TMC winning 23-27 seats compared to just 19 that the party had
in 2009 even though its vote share has increased by just one percentage point
to 32 from 31 the last time.
Mamata's arch-rivals the Left
Front has slipped back further and most probably
will end with just 7-11 seats from the 15 that it has in the current Lok Sabha while the Congress is likely to bag 5-9 seats and BJP 0-2.
will end with just 7-11 seats from the 15 that it has in the current Lok Sabha while the Congress is likely to bag 5-9 seats and BJP 0-2.
While most people prefer the
present TMC government (39 per cent) to previous Left Front government (29 per
cent), particularly in rural areas; but in urban areas, Buddhadeb Bhattacharjee's
government favoured more than Mamata Banerjee's.
The TMC government is also
being blamed by more people for the chit fund scam with most people also saying
that its fallout has been handled poorly by the Mamata Banerjee government.
While Mamata rode to power in West Bengal
ending the 34-year long rule of the Left Front using the slogan of
"parivartan" (change), half of those surveyed say they are yet to see
any major change.
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