Showing posts with label Jayalalithaa. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jayalalithaa. Show all posts

Saturday, August 17, 2013

73-yr old to get Ph.D degree


At 73, C. Aravindhavalli’s zest for life is infectious. She has just finished her PhD, and is all set to celebrate it with her grandchildren who are in their twenties. She laughed and said that, her grandchildren are studying in the US. They are coming to Chennai to be with me, to celebrate the fact that their paati has a doctorate now.
On Saturday (Aug 17, 2013), at the convocation function of the University of Madras, Ms. Aravindhavalli will be one of the few candidates who will receive their PhDs from the State Chief Minister Ms. Jayalalithaa.
Ms. Aravindhavalli, a resident of Triplicane area in Chennai said that, she got married when she was in class IX, and was part of a large, joint family. For many years, she was completely immersed in daily chores. Six years ago, when
she began to think about re-entering the world of academia, it was not easy. She had completed B.A. in music then. She said, she had grandchildren to look after and she did not know how it would seem if she attended classes at that age. But then her granddaughter sent notebooks from Mumbai to encourage her, and then decided to go ahead.
The septuagenarian attended classes regularly at Queen Mary’s College and finished her M.A. in Vaishnavism. Her guide, K. R. Seethalakshmi, principal, Quaid-E- Millath College for Women recalls, “Her husband came and requested me to convince her to start studying again. But it was easy to get her started as she knew she wanted to focus on the music aspect of the Alvars.”
But then in 2008, Ms. Aravindhavalli’s husband, an LIC agent, passed away, just as she was thinking about beginning her PhD. “It was very difficult convincing her to focus on clearing her registration exam — important because she didn’t have an M.Phil. But she is very hardworking and sincere,” said Prof. Seethalakshmi.
Ms. Aravindhavalli’s research is on the music of Thirumangai Alvar, the last of the 12 Alvar saints of south India, who are known for their affiliation to the Vaishnavite tradition of Hinduism. She said, this has not only helped me overcome my husband’s death but has also made me feel closer to god.

Aravindhavalli had to give veena recitals as practical performances to finish her PhD. She said that, when she was very young, her mother told her once, never to stop playing the Veena. She is glad that she listened to her.

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

Modi attacks Congress; praises Jaya and Naidu

Gujarat Chief Minister Mr. Narendra Modi launched the Bharatiya Janata Party's election campaign in south India by reaching out to the Telugu Desam Party for an alliance as he appealed to all non-Congress parties to come together to put an end to "dynastic rule" of the Congress in India. Invoking the legacy of TDP founder Mr. NT Rama Rao, the veteran leader addressing his first rally as BJP's chief poll campaign manager, said the TDP has a huge responsibility of fulfilling NTR's dreams.
He said that, he is in Andhra Pradesh and want to remember NTR. He gave fillip to anti-Congress politics. His dream was not just a prosperous Telugu state, but a liberated India. The best homage paid to him would be to unite non-Congress forces and liberate India from Congress rule.
It is up to the TDP to carry NTR's legacy forward. They have to realise their responsibility in this regard, he said to thunderous applause from the thousands, who had gathered at Hyderbad's Lal Bahadur Shastri stadium from early morning. The TDP was part of the BJP-led NDA alliance from 1998 to 2004, before the Chandrababu Naidu-led party severed ties following the defeat in Lok Sabha elections.
During his speech, Modi came down heavily on the Congress government in Andhra Pradesh for its failure to create jobs for the youth, and called upon the state government to emulate Jayalalithaa's Tamil Nadu as a role model in skill development.
He said, if you don't want to appreciate Gujarat model, it is fine. But look at how Jayalalithaa has created jobs through skill development in your neighboring state. Learn from her example, with some analysts describing it as an example of growing bonhomie between the AIADMK and the BJP leading up to next year's elections.
Attacking the Congress, Modi said hot anti-Congress winds were blowing across the country as people were fed up with growing corruption and misrule. He said, corruption has become all pervasive in the UPA rule. And people want to see good governance that can be achieved only by getting rid of the Congress. He added that, he’s confident that Andhra Pradesh's political parties will bring a non-Congress government and end this dynastic rule.
Praising his senior party colleague L K Advani's fight for bringing back money stashed in foreign banks, he lambasted the UPA government for its failure to act on it. He ridiculed the government's monitory policy, and said when India got freedom in 1947, one rupee was equal to one dollar, but now a dollar is equal to the age of the finance minister.
Chanting his pet mantra 'India First,' Modi said, if the BJP comes to power, the holy book of the government would be 'the Constitution of India'. However, coming with a mixed agenda and multiple issues, Modi looked to have let down the youth, with many saying that he highlighted the problems, but did not have any solution to offer.

While addressing the most sensitive issue of AP division, Modi resorted to woo both the regions of Telangana and Seemandhra, as the Congress had taken the sail out of the BJP winds by announcing formation of Telangana last month. His chants of 'Jai Telangana' and 'Jai Seemandhra' together failed to cut ice, many experts said at a time when the mood among Andhraties and people from Telangana are not at its best.
          He said, the Congress is not sincere on the issue. They say they would build a new capital for Seemandhra in 10 years' time. If they had been sincere, they would have started building the capital in 2004 when they committed Telangana. He added that for the BJP, Seemandhra was as important as Telangana. "And I hope both states will do even better than Gujarat," he said.
Slamming the Congress for creating rift between Telangana and Seemandhra, Modi said the ruling party had done great injustice to the state at the cost of its development.
"The Congress creating divide among people, as its policy is divisive," he lamented. And he prescribed development as the panacea for the problem. "Development is the only solution for all the problems and miseries," he said. He signed off by doing a Barack Obama as he chanted 'Yes We Can, Yes We Will Do" and asked the crowd to repeat.


Wednesday, July 24, 2013

2013 Election Tracker Survey: Tamil Nadu

Political battles in the southern states have traditionally been between the Congress and regional parties except in Tamil Nadu where the grand old party of India has been reduced to one of the also-rans. According to a CSDS-CNN-IBN survey in Tamil Nadu and Karnataka the ruling parties in the respective states are sitting pretty. But the survey reveals that in Andhra Pradesh the Congress, which had swept the state in 2009, is facing a tough time over Telangana and the rise of YS Jagan Mohan Reddy-led YSR Congress.
Tamil Nadu voters are behind the government of AIADMK chief J Jayalalithaa and rate it better than the previous M Karunanidhi regime. The
Karunanidhi-led DMK's decision to withdraw from Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) is also viewed as a political drama. The satisfaction with Jayalalithaa administration is down from 70 per cent in 2011 to 65 per cent in 2013 and dissatisfaction up from 16 per cent two years ago to 28 per cent at present.
While the vote shares of the AIADMK, Congress and BJP has increased, the DMK has slipped further. But only the AIADMK is able to benefit from the increase in vote share and is likely to win 16-20 in July 2013 seats compared to only nine in 2009. In spite of a three percentage increase in vote share to 18 per cent from 15, the Congress's tally is likely to fall between 1-5 seats from eight.
The DMK, too, will see a drop in the number of seats. The party will end up with 8-12 MPs from 18 in the current Lok Sabha. The other smaller parties are likely to bag 2-14 seats.



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Tuesday, July 23, 2013

2013 Election Tracker Survey: Nitish Kumar - prefer for PM in non-Cong and non-BJP

Even as the survey shows that Nitish Kumar's strategy to dump and BJP and go alone has not paid rich dividends, there is still some good news for him as the survey also shows that the Bihar Chief Minister remains the most popular non-Congress, non-BJP choice for the Prime Minister of India with 12 per cent of the respondents reposing their faith in him. Nitish is followed by Mayawati (9 per cent), Mamata Banerjee and Samajwadi Party supreme Mulayam Singh Yadav (8 per cent), NCP chief Sharad Pawar and Odisha Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik (4 per cent) and J Jayalalithaa (3 per cent).

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Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Kamaraj wish on NLC comes true

It may be just a coincidence, but one wish of former Chief Minister K. Kamaraj became a reality on his 110th birth anniversary (July 15, 2013) – the Central authorities agreeing to Chief Minister Jayalalithaa’s proposal of buying five per cent stake in the Neyveli Lignite Corporation (NLC). In May 1957, at a function to mark the inauguration of the Neyveli project, Kamaraj interjected while Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru was addressing the function, according to Congress leader A. Gopanna in his well-researched work in Tamil titled “Kamaraj – An Era” five years ago.
Kamaraj wanted to know whether the Centre would give a share in profits to the State government. Nehru replied that this issue would be taken up when the occasion arose. By then, the Union government had decided to implement the project as its own. This was why the query came from Kamaraj, whose record of remaining in office as Tamil Nadu Chief Minister for an unbroken spell of nine years (1954-1963) remains intact.
From the beginning, the Neyveli project, which owes its origins to a group of great men of integrity and commitment to the public well-being, including Kamaraj, was conceived as an integrated scheme of lignite mining and electricity generation. But, in the years immediately after Independence, power production was regarded in certain quarters as one of the functions of the States despite the subject ‘Electricity’ figuring in Concurrent List of the Constitution.




Prime Minister Mr. Jawaharlal Nehru taking a "watch-tower view" of the earth-moving operations at the integrated lignite project which he inaugurated on May 20, 1957 at Neyveli. At right is Mr. Kamaraj, the then Chief Minister of Tamil Nadu


It was against this backdrop that one had to view the Union Planning Commission’s opposition at that time to the Tamil Nadu government’s proposal that the Neyveli project be implemented as a Central scheme. While the Commission took the stand that the project was, in effect, meant for electricity production and the State government was free to execute it, the State’s position was that the project involved mining of a major mineral, which fell within the domain of the Centre. 
The second-in-command of Kamaraj’s Cabinet, C. Subramaniam, had even walked out of a meeting with the Planning Commission authorities, as narrated in Subramaniam’s memoirs, “Hand of Destiny” – Volume I (page 310). 

It was left to Kamaraj to prevail upon Nehru to agree to his government’s proposal. This was acknowledged by Nehru himself in the inaugural event of the Neyveli project. Over the last 56 years, Neyveli has become an important hub of power generation in the northern part of the State. Its three power plants can generate 2,490 MW and lignite mines 28.5 million tonnes per annum.

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NLC issue and its behind politics

The AIADMK government scored a political victory as the stand-off over disinvestment in Neyveli Lignite Corporation ended and the unions called off their strike. In a move facilitated by the Centre, TN is now set to buy a 3.56% stake in NLC for Rs.500 crore and stall the entry of private investors.
In a first-of-its-kind transaction, the Centre and the Securities and Exchange Board of India made a departure from the normal divestment route and gave their nod to Tamil Nadu to acquire NLC shares through five state-run public sector undertakings.
Chief Minister J Jayalalithaa called Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and thanked him for his cooperation in resolving the crisis. An official press release
said Singh told the CM that he had always enjoyed a cordial relationship with the TN government. The alacrity with which the Centre responded to TN’s unusual proposal to buy NLC shares set off speculation that the UPA government is cozying up to the AIADMK to build a relationship in the run-up to the Lok Sabha elections.
Responding to a call from Jayalalithaa, NLC employees ended their strike and returned to work.

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Why Tamil Nadu shows interest in buying share of NLC?

          Of the total power generated (2490 MW) in NLC, bulk (1167MW) goes for Tamil Nadu. Tamil Nadu already reeling under electricity crisis, has no other option left. Also if employees strike continues, the entire southern region of India will become dark. Hence only Tamil Nadu government had shown utmost interest in this problem.

























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Monday, July 8, 2013

NLC issue: Centre favourable to Jaya's offer???

Responding favourably to Tamil Nadu Chief Minister Ms. Jayalalithaa’s offer to buy 5% equity in Neyveli Lignite Corporation (NLC), the Union government’s Disinvestment Department has written to the State to depute an officer to discuss the modalities for the proposed sale. A communication to this effect was sent to State Chief Secretary Ms. Sheela Balakrishnan, according to Mr. Ravi Mathur, Secretary of the Department of Disinvestment, which comes under the Union Finance Ministry.
Mr. Mathur told journalists told that discussions among the Central and State governments and the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) would cover a number of issues, including pricing. Earlier, in a letter to Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, Ms. Jayalalithaa offered to purchase the stake through State public sector undertakings. Mr. Mathur said the SEBI had agreed to consider her offer. It was up to the Coal Ministry (under whose administrative control comes the NLC) to discuss the implications of the latest development with the NLC management and unions, which had been on strike to protest the disinvestment move.
SEBI had set an August 8 deadline for all listed Central public sector units to have a minimum 10% public shareholding.
IPP method may be adopted:-
The route of Institutional Placement Programme (IPP) may be adopted in respect of sale of five per cent equity in the Neyveli Lignite Corporation (NLC) as opposed to the Union government’s original scheme of selling the NLC shares through Offer for Sale (OFS) mechanism to the public. This was indicated by Ravi Mathur, Disinvestment Secretary, and a release of the Central government.               Mr. Mathur, who was in Coimbatore to attend a meeting, told reporters that the SEBI’s stipulation was that the stake sale to State PSUs should be through the IPP route. Also, the purchasing company had to be registered with SEBI as a Qualified Institutional Buyer (QIB).
The official release stated that the SEBI had suggested that the proposal be covered within the IPP guidelines but the modalities needed to be worked out
among officials of the State government, Coal Ministry and the Department of Disinvestment.          The release said that, in the offer document for IPP, the seller can propose the criteria on the basis of which allocation could be made. This can be used to give preference to any set of Qualified Institutional Buyers including State Undertakings of Tamil Nadu.
Earlier, Chief Minister Jayalalithaa made an offer, in her letter to Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, that the Centre should consider giving the five per cent shareholding in the NLC to Tamil Nadu State Public Sector Undertakings
such as Tamil Nadu Industrial Development Corporation (TIDCO), State Industries Promotion Corporation of Tamil Nadu (SIPCOT) and Tamil Nadu Industrial Investment Corporation (TIIC). On the amount of revenue to be generated through the stake sale, Mr. Mathur, who is holding the additional charge as Minority Affairs Secretary, said it depended on stock market conditions. Still, it was estimated that the move would generate Rs. 400 crore to Rs. 500 crore.
CM writes to PM again:- Painting a grim power-deficit scenario for Tamil Nadu, and the south as a whole, should the labour unrest persist over the Central Government’s decision to offload its equity in the Neyveli Lignite Corporation (NLC), Chief Minister Ms. Jayalalithaa urged Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh to regard the feasible measures suggested as alternatives to disinvestment.
In a letter to Mr. Singh, Ms. Jayalalithaa said the NLC was the largest Navratna Central Public Sector Undertaking in Tamil Nadu employing more than 25,000 persons and generating 2,490MW of power for the southern Region. If the labour unrest continued, it would not only result in Tamil Nadu losing its share of 1,178MW and a relapse into power deficit, but a cumulative loss of about 2,500MW for the entire south.
In the light of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) formally proposing to the NLC the possibility of arriving at a special procedure on a case-by-case basis for the offloading of shares by the Government of India, “it appears that working out an arrangement to offload 5 per cent equity, or even 3.56 per cent of the equity, to meet the target of 10 per cent, to Government of Tamil Nadu owned Public Sector Undertakings is something that SEBI can quite easily work out,” she wrote.
Recalling her earlier letter in which she suggested that the 5 per cent shareholding be offered to one or more State-run undertakings, Ms. Jayalalithaa said the PSUs such as TIDCO, SIPCOT or TIIC met the criteria of ‘Qualified Institutional Buyers’ (QIBs) and were eligible to purchase shares under an Institutional Placement Programme. These entities also fell within the purview of “public” as defined under Rule 2(d) of the Securities Contracts (Regulation) Rules, 1957, she said.

ROAD TO DISINVESTMENT
June 21, 2013
Cabinet clears sale of Centre’s 5% stake in Public Sector unit NLC
June 25, 2013
Tamil Nadu Chief Minister writes to Prime Minister, says TN govt is willing to buy Centre’s stake
July 01, 2013
Centre says it is open to TN’s offer
July 02, 2013
Nearly 30, 000 NLC workers go on strike
July 07, 2013
SEBI gives nod to TN’s proposal, but asks State Government to send a concrete plan

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Tamil Nadu Cabinet reshuffle

          Two Ministers – S. T. Chellapandian and A. Mohammedjan – were dropped from the Cabinet. They would be replaced with S. P. Shanmuganathan, MLA from Srivaikuntam constituency, and S. Abdul Rahim from Avadi, near Chennai. This was the ninth shuffle after the present government assumed office in May 2011. Both Mr Chellapandian and Mr Mohammedjan, who were Ministers for Labour and Backward Classes and Minorities Welfare nearly for two years, were known to maintain low profile.

TAMIL NADU CABINET RESHUFFLE - 09
Ministers
Old Portfolio
New Portfolio
S. T. Chellapandian
Labour
----------
A. Mohammedjan
Backward Class and Minorities
-----------
S. P. Shanmuganathan
--------------
Tourism
S. Abdul Rahim
--------------
Backward Class and Minorities
Re-allocation
K.T. Pachamal
Forest
Labour
P. Chendur Pandian
Tourism
Hindu Religious and Charitable Endowments (HR&CE) Minister
M.S. M. Anandan
Hindu Religious and Charitable Endowments (HR&CE) Minister
Forest
Mr. Chellapandian and A. Mohammedjan had been dropped by Governor K. Rosaiah on the recommendation of Chief Minister Jayalalithaa.
Re-allocation:- The Chief Minister also re-allocated portfolios of three Ministers. Forests Minister K.T. Pachamal would hereafter handle the subject of Labour. P. Chendur Pandian, who was till now Tourism Minister, would be Hindu Religious and Charitable Endowments (HR&CE) Minister. The subject of Forests had been given to M.S. M. Anandan, who was hitherto looking after HR&CE.


Wednesday, June 12, 2013

Jayalalithaa’s strategy may fetch CPI a Rajya Sabha seat

Chief Minister Jayalalithaa’s advice to the CPI to contest for the sixth seat in the biennial election to the Rajya Sabha from Tamil Nadu is not without significance. Contrary to the perception that she had shut the doors on the Left by fielding five AIADMK candidates for six seats, political observers sense a clever strategy by which she can ensure the victory of a CPI candidate as well as of her party’s nominees. The strategy, however, depends on the DMK and the DMDK not coming together for Rajya Sabha polls.
Mr. T.S.R. Venkataramanan, a noted lawyer and former Congress MLA said that, in the absence of coordination between DMK and DMDK, Ms. Jayalalithaa can ensure the victory of all her five candidates and a CPI candidate by dividing the 180 MLAs in her fold [including 18 Left MLAs) equally to back all the six candidates. I think it is a master stroke.
The AIADMK has 151 votes. When the votes of its allies and the six dissident DMDK MLAs are included, the number will increase to 162. By bringing together the CPI and the CPI (M), which have 18 votes, she can raise the bloc’s strength to 180. Her numbers are likely to go up as some more DMDK MLAs, including K. Pandiarajan, elected from Virudhunagar constituency, are prepared to switch loyalty.
Mr. Venkataramanan, who had worked as an election agent for Jayanthi Natarajan in a Rajya Sabha poll in the 1980s, said there was no hard and fast rule that every candidate should get 34 votes. He said that, one has to get the maximum number of votes to get elected. If six candidates get 30 each, they will be declared elected. It will not happen if the DMK and the DMDK work together.

The DMK and the DMDK seemed to have got the wind of         Ms. Jayalalithaa’s strategy. A senior DMDK MLA said that, he hope our leader (Vijayakant) will not allow this to happen. I expect him to take an appropriate decision that will prevent the AIADMK from having a cakewalk in the RS polls. He said if the expected crossover of more DMDK legislators took place, he would certainly make a gesture towards the DMK. Though the DMK was keen on contesting the elections, it is not sure of support from the actor-turned-politician.

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Tuesday, June 11, 2013

Jayalalithaa rules out alliance for Lok Sabha poll

Tamil Nadu Chief Minister and AIADMK general secretary Jayalalithaa reiterated that her party would go it alone in the 2014 Lok Sabha general election and was aiming to secure all the 40 seats in Tamil Nadu and Puducherry. But she described Gujarat Chief Minister Narendra Modi, who was elevated as the Chairman of the Campaign Committee of the BJP, as her good friend and said her good wishes were always with him.
Talking to journalists in New Delhi after attending a meeting with the Union Planning Commission, Ms. Jayalalithaa, answering a question
On alliance she said: “I’ve already stated very clearly several times and I repeat in your (media) presence that my aim, the aim of the AIADMK, is to win all the 40 seats, 39 in Tamil Nadu and 1 in Puducherry. So where was the question of an alliance? Your question itself is redundant and infructuous”.
On the developments in the BJP, she said, “Whatever happened is purely an internal matter of the BJP. Politically, I don’t think it would be proper for me to make any kind of comment on it. But at a personal level, I will only say that Mr. Narendra Modi is a good friend of mine, my good wishes are always with him and whether he wins the election in Gujarat or whether he achieves an elevation in his own party, I am happy for him.”
On Rajya Sabha Polls:-  About the ensuing Rajya Sabha poll, for which she had already released names of her party candidates for five out of six seats, she said whatever she wanted to say had already been said in a statement. “I have nothing more to add”. She refused to comment on her meeting with CPI leaders A.B. Bardhan and D. Sudharakara Reddy here, who called on her to seek the AIADMK’s support for their candidate.
         Left leaders meet Jaya:- Mr. Bardhan merely told journalists after the meeting: “She (Ms. Jayalalithaa) told us she has declared (her candidates for) five seats and hopes to win those five. She wished us well for the election”. She also informed them that the AIADMK would not have many extra votes to share. “We will have to go back to our party and discuss the outcome of our meeting,” Mr. Bardhan said.

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Monday, June 10, 2013

Planning body approves Rs 37K Cr outlay for TN

Planning Commission approved Tamil Nadu’s Rs 37,128 crore annual plan expenditure for the current fiscal, which is 32.8%higher than the approved outlay for 2012-13. The state’s annual plan outlay for 2013-14 was finalised in New Delhi at a meeting between Commission’s Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia and Tamil Nadu Chief Minister J Jayalalithaa.
According to an official statement, the plan size has been agreed at Rs 37,128 crore which includes the central assistance of about Rs 3,165 crore. In addition to the central assistance, an amount of Rs 9,000 crore is likely to flow from the Centre to Tamil Nadu through various Centrally Sponsored Schemes (CSS), it said. Thus, the Plan assistance from the Centre to Tamil Nadu is expected to be over Rs 12,000 crore during 2013-14.
During the meeting, the Commission pointed out that state’s economy or Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) decelerated from 7.3% in 2011-12 to 4.6% in 2012-13, which was lower than national average of 5%. The meeting discussed the steps to be taken to accelerate the growth rate, including revival of investment and development of infrastructure. It was also noted that power sector performance would be critical as the state was currently suffering from a large deficit in the sector.
Later talking to the media, Mr. Ahluwalia said, “..like everybody else they had a slowdown in growth this year. I think they have problems in the power sector, they have difficulties in getting coal supplies.” “...like in the rest of the country, water is going to be very big issue (in the state). Tamil Nadu is urbanising very rapidly and their own forecast according to the vision documents they have prepared (is that) by 2023 Tamil Nadu will be 67 per cent urban,” he added.
According to Mr Ahluwalia, the Chief Minister expressed her reservations on transfer of funds. She wanted that the funds should go to the consolidated fund of the state and not to be passed on directly (for schemes). He said that, she also has reservations on Direct Benefit Transfer (DBT) scheme and she expressed that.
The Commission commended the state for its sound fiscal position arising from the significant increase in mobilisation of resources, especially its own tax revenue. The state’s Tax-GSDP ratio is likely to cross 10% during 2013-14 and the outstanding liabilities as a percentage of GSDP are well within the fiscal consolidation requirements as per the 13th Finance Commission, the Commission noted during the meeting.
It was also said that the state continues to maintain favourable social indicators, especially health indicators such as birth rate, Infant Mortality Rate (IMR), Maternal Mortality Rate (MMR), Total Fertility Rate (TFR) and Neo-natal Mortality Rate (NMR). The State also ranks better than the national average in most of education indicators. However, the Commission said that, there was need to focus on issues of quality of education and reducing the gender gap.


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Why Only Modi, Why Not Amma?


With mounting voices to project Narendra Modi as the BJP’s Prime Ministerial candidate, Sanjay Pinto lists ten points why he thinks the Tamil Nadu Chief Minister Jayalalithaa would make a better choice.
As  calibrated attempts to project Narendra Modi as the BJP’s Prime Ministerial mascot are in full swing, the ‘national’ media is yet to wake up to the possibility of a powerful leader down South being a contender for the crown. In the last few months, talk of a ‘dhoti clad’ PM from the South had been mooted at a literary function attended by politicians and film stars in Chennai; and later picked up and flogged in newspaper columns and on the social media. How about a ‘sari clad’ PM, South of the Vindhyas? Jayalalithaa has already made it clear that she would not have any trucks with either the Congress or the BJP. In the context of a third front, as an alternative to the Congress and BJP led alliances, the possibility of Modi’s good friend and the most powerful lady in Tamil Nadu – Chief Minister Jayalalithaa, emerging not just as a king maker but the queen herself in 2014 cannot be ruled out in India’s ever fluid political scenario. After HD Deve Gowda, who had a short stint as PM in the late nineties, and the late veteran Tamil Nadu Congress leader GK Moopanar who missed the bus with the United Front government, if Amma’s stars shine as they did in 2011, who knows, she may no longer have to send the State’s periodic ‘To Do’ lists to 7 Race Course Road but be able to address them herself!
A fractured mandate next year, or earlier, will make every small party and every seat count. If Jayalalithaa can solve her inherited power shortage to make her free mixies and grinders and laptops run in the next few months, a predicted score card of 30 seats may not be out of reach for the AIADMK. That will give her a huge bargaining chip and the gravitas to cobble together a coalition of like minded parties for a serious shot at Delhi’s corridors of power. Having supported political alliances in the past and even pulling down one of them, the lady from Poes Garden has ‘been there, done that’. Now it’s just a question of taking her clout at the Centre to the next level. I was among the first few journalists in the country to directly broach the subject of a Prime Ministerial inclination with Amma, a few years ago. Her repartee: “No comments. But thank you for the compliment” was interesting. Here’s why I think she will make a good PM.

1.   Jayalalithaa’s leadership qualities and acceptance among possible constituents of a third front is her biggest plus point. We’ve seen many leaders – from Chandrababu Naidu to Left bigwigs descend at her residence to announce Dr Abdul Kalam as their nominee for a second innings at Rashtrapati Bhavan in the previous election. Last year, she was first off the block in mooting the name of former Lok Sabha Speaker and tribal leader PA Sangma as the NDA backed Presidential nominee, with even BJP patriarch LK Advani  holding discussions with her at Fort St.George.
 2.   With friends across the political divide, forming a durable coalition and keeping the flock together may not be a tall order. With her excellent rapport with Samajwadi Party leader and UP CM Akhilesh Yadav and Left leaders like Prakash Karat, coupled with the TINA factor for other parties, perhaps even the Trinamool supremo – Mamata Didi may well accept Amma at the helm. A proven capacity to unite non Congress Chief Ministers over common grievances with the Centre is indicative of her hold over ruling parties in other States.
 3.    Much as she is called an ‘Iron Lady’, Jayalalithaa is known to have an amazing ability to convert her staunch critics and foes into lasting friends. I can never forget MDMK Chief Vaiko who was jailed by her under POTA (Prevention of Terrorism Act) for 18 months thundering outside the Vellore Prison on his release that he would fight the “fascist regime”. A few months later, he joined hands with Amma and remarked, “This is the finest moment in Tamil Nadu’s political history!” Even after boycotting the 2011 assembly poll because he felt short changed in seat allocation, Vaiko still regards Jayalalithaa as his sister.
 4.   By Indian political standards, 65 year old Jayalalithaa is relatively young. As a powerful regional leader with a brute majority in the Tamil Nadu assembly and her unassailable sway over her own party, she does not have to worry about internal squabbles that have haunted many Prime Ministers.
 5.   A tough and no nonsense approach to governance is what anyone who knows the State well will vouch for. Not afraid of cracking the whip – be it the elimination of the long pending Veerappan menace or the sacking of over a lakh government employees in her previous tenure or the recent handling of the anti Koodankulam protestors, soft pedalling is not an expression in Amma’s lexicon.
 6.   The ‘iron hand’ can also come with a velvet glove. Jayalalithaa seems to have mastered the art of populism (a term she doesn’t quite like, preferring to call it ‘welfare’ instead). Despite a debt of one lakh crore, she adroitly managed to start fulfilling her 2011 freebie election manifesto. In her third innings, she has demonstrated a willingness to reach out to various sections – minorities, caste groups and most importantly the poor. The ‘Amma Canteens’ that serve wholesome food at one rupee and\or a few rupees are a super hit, bigger than a Rajini blockbuster! With the same formula, placating States and allies when in the saddle, should be child’s play.
 7.   An unbiased observer will not fail to notice Jayalalithaa’s national outlook – whether it’s her firm stand against terror and on maintaining law and order or her  environmental policy or the pro nuclear energy stance, after doing her due diligence. Championing the cause of Tamils in Sri Lanka and her strong views on tackling terror, even in a possible Pakistan context, may augur well for a firm foreign policy.
 8.  ‘Tell me who your key officers are and I will tell you if you are a good leader’ can be the new age dictum in governance. Jayalalithaa’s choice of officers has always been spot on. Ask any retired bureaucrat who has served under her (if you think the serving ones will be biased in her favour) and they will fill you in with instances and concrete examples of her administrative acumen and her grasp over complex issues. Choosing a balanced Cabinet is crucial. Amma will pass that test.
 9.   The convent educated heroine turned political leader is suave, articulate and charming enough to even floor international dignitaries like Bill Gates and Hillary Clinton. Coming from the film industry, her communication skills are among the best in India’s political landscape. This was evident even during her Rajya Sabha years.
 10. You can judge a leader’s intellectual prowess by her or his press statements and conferences. Jayalalithaa’s knowledge of national and international affairs, economics and even law (her lawyers tell me that she is so clued in with even all the latest Supreme Court judgments) is impressive. A leader in the hot seat needs to understand the nitty gritty of a wide range of subjects. Not wanting in this department either.
 I’ve been a neutral political commentator all my life and will remain that way. But I don’t believe in denying anyone their due, even if it comes across as slanted. Jayalalithaa has it in her to aspire for the top job. She will, however, need to focus on the challenging task of suffering fools gladly and taking criticism, even if it’s not the constructive variety, in her stride. And yes, the outcome of the wealth case in a Bangalore Court will be crucial for the Chennai Super Queen to strike gold in national politics.

(Sanjay Pinto is a lawyer, columnist and former Resident Editor of NDTV)