Elections 2014:

The BJP-led NDA is projected to get 227 seats in the coming Lok Sabha polls, while the Congress will be reduced to 84, according to an opinion poll. The survey, conducted by India TV, Times Now and CVoter, projects the worst-ever performance by the Congress-led UPA, a better show by regional parties such as the YSR Congress, the Trinamool Congress and the AIADMK, and the emergence of the Aam Aadmi Party.

According to the projection, the BJP alone will get 202 out of the total 543 seats. The Congress is projected to get only 84 — 117 less than its 2009 tally.

While the poll projects 217-237 seats to the NDA, it gives only 91-111 to the UPA.

The Arvind Kejriwal-led AAP is projected to get 7 seats in its maiden Lok Sabha battle. The survey shows Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool getting 24 seats — five more than its 2009 position.

Jayalalithaa’s AIADMK is projected to emerge as the top non-UPA, non-NDA party with 27 seats. Its existing strength in the Lok Sabha is 9. The Left Front is projected to improve its position from the present 24 to 27. Mulayam Singh’s Samajwadi Party is projected to get 20 seats — three less than its existing strength. Mayawati’s BSP is projected to retain its 2009 strength — 21 — in the 16th Lok Sabha. The survey gives the Jaganmohan Reddy-headed YSR Congress 13 seats.

A possible third alternative, consisting of 16 parties including the Left Front and the AIADMK, is projected to get 128 seats.

A possible fourth front consisting of 15 regional forces including the Trinamool, the BSP, the TRS and the YSR Congress is projected to get 87 seats. According to a release, the CVoter study was based on a national representative sample of 14,142 randomly selected respondents across all 28 States during January 15-February 8.