2013 Election Tracker Survey: Tamil Nadu

Political battles in the southern states have traditionally been between the Congress and regional parties except in Tamil Nadu where the grand old party of India has been reduced to one of the also-rans. According to a CSDS-CNN-IBN survey in Tamil Nadu and Karnataka the ruling parties in the respective states are sitting pretty. But the survey reveals that in Andhra Pradesh the Congress, which had swept the state in 2009, is facing a tough time over Telangana and the rise of YS Jagan Mohan Reddy-led YSR Congress.

Tamil Nadu voters are behind the government of AIADMK chief J Jayalalithaa and rate it better than the previous M Karunanidhi regime. The

Karunanidhi-led DMK's decision to withdraw from Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) is also viewed as a political drama. The satisfaction with Jayalalithaa administration is down from 70 per cent in 2011 to 65 per cent in 2013 and dissatisfaction up from 16 per cent two years ago to 28 per cent at present.

While the vote shares of the AIADMK, Congress and BJP has increased, the DMK has slipped further. But only the AIADMK is able to benefit from the increase in vote share and is likely to win 16-20 in July 2013 seats compared to only nine in 2009. In spite of a three percentage increase in vote share to 18 per cent from 15, the Congress's tally is likely to fall between 1-5 seats from eight.

The DMK, too, will see a drop in the number of seats. The party will end up with 8-12 MPs from 18 in the current Lok Sabha. The other smaller parties are likely to bag 2-14 seats.

Detail Analysis on Tamil Nadu Survey

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See Also:-

2013 Election Tracker Survey: State Scan - "Gujarat"

2013 Election Tracker Survey: State Scan - "Uttar Pradesh"

2013 Election Tracker Survey: State Scan - "Madhya Pradesh"

2013 Election Tracker Survey: State Scan - "Maharashtra"

2013 Election Tracker Survey: State Scan - "Andhra Pradesh"

2013 Election Tracker Survey: State Scan - "Tamil Nadu"

2013 Election Tracker Survey: State Scan - "Bihar"

2013 Election Tracker Survey: State Scan - "West Bengal"

2013 Election Tracker Survey: Nitish prefer for PM in non-Cong,non-BJP

2013 Election Tracker Survey: UPA-II more corrupt

2013 Election Tracker Survey (in General)